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Who went down, who’s going down? Do dodgy numbers have the answer?

At the start of last season I chose three relegation candidates  (QPR, Hull and Aston Villa) and two reserves (Southampton and West Brom) on the basis of PL history and some iffy statistics. As you might expect, I got some stick from fans who didn’t like my forecast: Mr QPR said “What a rubbish article, how […]

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Ups and downs with Hull, QPR & Villa (and Leicester and Burnley instead of Saints and WBA)

You might remember the theme of this series of posts was to track the progress of selected teams towards  38 points, which  required them to average 1 point per game throughout the season. The teams I chose as relegation candidates at the start of the season, on the basis of some history and rather flimsy […]

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Leicester, Burnley, QPR, Villa, Hull, WBA, Palace and SAFC: all flatlining

no slide rule needed

At 24 games in it was time for my review of the relegation prospects I set out at the beginning of the season but with game 25 only two days later  it made sense to wait. You’ll remember my chosen three were QPR – chosen because a promoted team is almost certain to go down […]

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Dodgy numbers signify relegation scrap for Hull, QPR, Burnley, Leicester (and us?)

you don't have to be Einstein to know our chances aren't good

This is my third post in this series, which began in August when I used some dodgy stats and history to identify this season’s relegation candidates, plus a couple of wildcards for good measure (the list in the headline is not exhaustive – Ed). You might remember (or you can revisit http://salutsunderland.com/2014/08/good-news-for-burnley-and-leicester-our-stats-man-has-qpr-hull-city-and-aston-villa/) I predicted, from […]

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The gloomy stats that doom QPR, Burnley and Newcastle (or us)

no slide rule needed

Lost in the deluge of post-Southampton news, anger and gallows humour, John McCormick applied a scholarly eye to the statistics he considers relevant factors in determining who goes down, who stays up. Ominously, in this update, the 8-0 defeat is seen as not only wrecking our goal difference but pushing us more obviously into the […]

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Dodgy numbers raise the question: ‘Can we dodge the bullet?’

salut sunderland jake

Before the season started I used some dodgy stats and history to predict this season’s relegated candidates, including a couple of wildcards. From 20th place upwards they were: QPR – Purely because a promoted team is almost certain to go down and most often it has been the playoff winner. I had to go with […]

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Dodgy-ng relegation

no slide rule needed

This post is about relegation, something never far from our minds, and who this season’s three might be. Over the summer I looked over a little bit of history and generated some numbers in order to bring you more of my dodgy predictions. Enjoy them or argue with them as you will. Just don’t nick […]

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It’s Official – “I read it in the Daily News” (and everywhere else)

Salut Banner4(featured image)

John McCormick writes: In keeping with the character of this website, I’ve used a line from a quite well-known song […]

Donald’s ducked in, Jack’s the lad: what now for SAFC’s League One prospects?

Just a few of Jake's generic Salut! Sunderland images ...

For what it is worth, the bookies are already putting Sunderland among favourites to go up from League One next […]

Adieu Martin Bain

Follow the Lads at salutsunderland.com

Monsieur Salut knew, or had a good idea, this was coming, but thought it prudent not to say. Now it […]

SAFC takeover: done and dusted with a £40m price tag and, soon, a new manager

Jake: 'when will we next see sunny times for Sunderland AFC?'

Monsieur Salut couldn’t be in Sunderland today but pieces together the bits he has gleaned about the confirmed purchase of […]