Tag Archives: relegation

Relegation watch: SAFC, NUFC and Watford? Bournemouth, Norwich and Villa? And are Leicester safe?

At the start of the season some 7,696 votes had been cast in our relegation poll. As you can see below, the clear favourites to go down were AFC Bournemouth, Watford and Sunderland, with Norwich then Leicester following behind. Aston Villa and NUFC were also given as possibilities; Villa weren’t far behind Leicester but fewer people […]

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Relegation: it’s still Bournemouth and Watford. Can Leicester and Norwich relax?

Strange, isn’t it? I spend Monday evening idly browsing the MLS (aka Major League Soccer) website trying to work out how it (the league, not the website) operates and then along comes David Millward with a piece about a football convention in the USA. I wonder if the fans he mixed with can get their […]

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Ahead of Southampton, figures that add up so badly for Sunderland

Jake: 'so we didn't get Messi after all?'

My guesswork is uncomplimentary to Sunderland and our chances of avoiding relegation. Why not carry out the same exercise yourselves and see how you place us and our relegation co-strugglers. I hope – the hope we cannot stand – to be proved alarmist and plain wrong. Here are extracts from my preview of SAFC vs […]

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Dodgy numbers raise the question: ‘Can we dodge the bullet?’

salut sunderland jake

Before the season started I used some dodgy stats and history to predict this season’s relegated candidates, including a couple of wildcards. From 20th place upwards they were: QPR – Purely because a promoted team is almost certain to go down and most often it has been the playoff winner. I had to go with […]

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Burnley and Leicester saved: our stats man has QPR, Hull City, Aston Villa doomed

Jake: 'you don't talk to the likes of us, Ellis, so how can we be blamed if we get something wrong?'

This is the latest of John McCormick‘s occasional delve into statistics and logic to weigh up relegation prospects – one day he’ll feel, as Sunderland fan, it’s worth a look at the other end of the table. It has already had an airing and attracted comment from SAFC fans. But what do supporters of the […]

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Survival? Gus says it’ll go to the wire. So do some dodgy numbers

john

    You may remember the first chart below. I posted it at the the mid-point of this season. It uses the improvement or deterioration of last season’s best and worst post-Christmas performers in the bottom half of the table, (i.e. Reading and Stoke) to predict the points that this season’s bottom teams will end […]

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Ordinary Jon’s extraordinary prediction: Sunderland to survive. Maybe. (Sorry Fulham, Cardiff, Norwich)

Fabio Borini - boom? Or bust?

M Salut writes: I find it slightly worrying that John McCormick has not yet produced one of his statistical projections showing how Sunderland will stay up. Silence speaks volumes? Ordinary Jon, aka Jon Adamson**, has been conducting an exercise of his own and finds reasons for hope as well as concern – concern that would […]

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Sunderland’s IQ: It needs to be better than average

Jake: 'this is the place where you find true support, unconditional commitment'

On Boxing Day 2004 West Brom’s 19th game of the season saw them at home to Liverpool. They lost 0-5, which left them adrift at the bottom, with 10 points and a goal difference of -24. They drew their next match 1-1, away to Man City, but this wasn’t enough to lift them up the […]

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If it’s not Villa, Fulham or Southampton, or Newcastle or Sunderland, then it must be Wigan

John Mac  hoping to be celebrating rather than having a hair of the dog

This is the final piece of a series I started around Christmas. It wasn’t intended as a series, it just turned out that way. Idle speculation about the importance of goal difference in the relegation dogfight led to the first post, in which I wrote “I’m going to stick my neck out and say that […]

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Salut! Sunderland’s end-of-season reviews: (1) a tale of two managers

Another of Jake's Salut! banners

Jeremy Robson is not built in the mould of the docile, acquiescent sort of supporter who takes whatever muck is thrown at him and just rolls over to be tickled now and again. Years spent standing in the Clock Stand Paddock illustrated his passion but made him a critical fan. Here, he kicks off our […]

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Coventry hanging on to Doncaster and Charlton as Portsmouth chase Barnsley, Sunderland and Luton.

McCormick's Craic(featured image) full size 640 x 138

Another international break brings an opportunity to revisit the six clubs our readers* and the Coventry ninjas**  chose way back […]

Another one from the archives: Ken Gambles and some childhood heroes

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John McCormick writes: With a traveller like Pete Sixsmith on our books we’re always going to be able to tell […]

Countdown to Portsmouth at Wembley: (1) ‘a pleasant change from cataclysmic collapse’

There's a lot more to come

Monsieur Salut writes: Wembley looms again. There is no meaningful football for us (except the games involving our League One […]

From the archives: Birmingham City memories and Sixer doffs his hat to Roy Hodgson

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John McCormick writes: Malcolm said over the weekend that “with no game between now and the Checkatrade Trophy final, the […]

View from the Avenue: how Sunderland benefit from the Checkatrade distraction

Paul Summerside hoping for calmer waters - and a new man on the bridge

A few days when size mattered, writes Monsieur Salut: first we had Salut! Sunderland passing a grand total of 4m […]

Sixer’s Sub’s Soapbox: Walsall can’t hold on as Sunderland close the gap

Sixer's Soapbox (featured image)

Pete Sixsmith reported windy weather before trotting off to the SOL yesterday and Walsall duly put the wind up Sunderland, […]

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